Servers in a New Infection Point
Domingo A. Trassens
March 1, 2010, 8:00 AM
4271BU

Servers in a New Infection Point
Servidores en un nuevo punto de inflexión

IDC, one of the most important analysis firms of the technology market, unveiled the details of its last study about sales of servers during the fourth 2009 quarter and the complete 2009 year.

These were the five more important server manufacturers across the world in the fourth 2009 quarter:
1) IBM, sales: $4.59 billion; market share: 35.4%; variation: -6.5%
2) HP, sales: $3.95 billion; market share: 30.5%; variation: +0.8%
3) Dell, sales: $1.49 billion: 11.5%; variation: +4.5%
4) Sun Microsystems, sales: $1.32 billion; market share: 8.0%; variation: -17.3%
5) Fujitsu: sales: $595 million; market share: 4.6%; variation: + 7.2%
6) Others: sales: $1.30 billion, market share:10%; variation: -8.9%.

These were the first more important server manufacturers across the world during all 2009:
1) IBM, sales: $14.19 billion; market share: 32.9%; variation: -16.2%
2) HP, sales: $12.88 billion; market share: 29.9%; variation: -18.2%
3) Dell, sales: $5.23 billion; market share: 12.1%; variation: -15.6%
4) Sun Microsystems, sales: $3.83 billion; market share: 8.9%; variation: -28.8%
5) Fujitsu: sales: $2.19 billion; market share: 5.1%; variation: -12.8%
6) Others: sales $4.85 billion, market share11.2%; variation: -24.9%.

According to its information the fourth quarter sales declined year over year but grew sequential from previous quarters showing the industry is entering in a new inflection point.

IDC, una de las más importantes firmas del análisis del mercado de tecnología, reveló detalles de su último estudio de las ventas de computadores servidores durante el cuarto trimestre del 2009 y además durante todo el año pasado. La evaluación de sus principales números muestra que el despacho de máquinas desde fábrica siguió declinando año tras año, pero por otra parte creció en forma secuencial trimestre por trimestre con la mejora significativa de algunos de los rangos de máquinas en que esta categoría está segmentada.

La venta total de servidores a nivel mundial en el cuarto trimestre 2009 cayó un 3,90% respecto de un año atrás, totalizando 13 mil millones de dólares americanos (en notación americana: $13 billones). No obstante, fue el segundo cuatrimestre que registró un crecimiento secuencial trimestre a trimestre, marcando de hecho un nuevo punto de inflexión en las tendencias de ese nicho de productos de tecnología.

Por otra parte, las ventas de servidores de hoja (bladed server) crecieron un 30,90% año tras año. En cambio, el segmento de Systemas z de IBM mostró flojedad. A propósito de lo dicho, debe observarse que durante ese período, este fabricante hizo una muy importante actualización de su familia de mainframes, tratando además de ganar clientes en un nivel de servidores que por lo general, hasta el momento ha sido dominado los servidores X86. (Comlab Corp participó invitado en algunas de las conferencias de analistas IT que organizó IBM recientemente).

A nivel de sistemas operativos, los ingresos por ventas de los servidores basados en Microsoft Windows se incrementaron en un 13,70% año tras año. El total mundial de ventas en este nicho durante el cuarto trimestre fue de 5 mil 400 millones de dólares, (en notación americana: $5.4 billones).

También creció la venta de servidores basados en Linux, ganando un 6,10% año tras año para totalizar 1 mil 900 millones de dólares (en notación americana: $1,9 billones).

Pero por otra parte, la venta de servidores basados en el sistema operativo Unix declinó en ingresos un 18,10% año tras año. En particular, en este nicho, uno de los principales proveedores es Sun Microsystems que fue entre todos los líderes del mercado, quien más declinó en el último trimestre 2009. (Comlab Corp comentó en reiteradas oportunidades, sobre la incertidumbre de clientes y socios de Sun por las demoras que tuvo el proceso de integración Sun-Oracle).

Analizando el mercado a nivel de ingresos, estos fueron los cinco primeros fabricantes en el cuarto trimestre 2009 en ventas a través de todo el mundo:
1) IBM, ventas: 4 mil 590 millones de dólares; participación del mercado: 35,40%; variación: -6,50%
2) HP, ventas: 3 mil 950 millones de dólares; participación: 30,50%; variación: +0,80%
3) Dell, ventas: 1 mil 489 millones de dólares; participación: 11,50%; variación: +4,50%
4) Sun Microsystems, ventas: 1 mil 32 millones de dólares; participación: 8,00%; variación: -17,30%
5) Fujitsu: ventas: 595 millones de dólares; participación: 4,60%; variación: + 7,20%
6) El resto de los fabricantes totalizó ventas por 1 mi 296 millones de dólares, con una participación de 10% y una variación de -8,90%.

En todo el año 2009, a nivel de ingresos, a través del mundo, estos fueron los líderes:
1) IBM, ventas: 14 mil 191 millones de dólares; participación del mercado: 32,90%; variación: -16,20%
2) HP, ventas: 12 mil 885 millones de dólares; participación: 29,90%; variación: -18,20%
3) Dell, ventas: 5 mil 226 millones de dólares; participación: 12,10%; variación: -15,60%
4) Sun Microsystems, ventas: 3 mil 825 millones de dólares; participación: 8,90%; variación: -28,80%
5) Fujitsu: ventas: 2 mil 186 millones de dólares; participación: 5,10%; variación: -12,80%
6) El resto de los fabricantes totalizó ventas por 4 mil 848 millones de dólares, con una participación de 11.20% y una variación de -24,90%.

Resumiendo, la comparación de los números del cuarto trimestre y de todo el año 2009 dejan observar que ha habido una concentración de ventas en los primeros líderes del sector, incluso con un avance de Dell en el cuarto trimestre. En cuanto a Sun ,en ambos casos declinó. Respecto de los dos líderes, IBM y HP, el primero mostró mayor flojedad en el cuarto trimestre, pero HP durante todo el año, declinó algo más que IBM. Tomando en consideración todos los números en conjuntos, aunque en forma leve, se puede inferir que el cuarto trimestre efectivamente marcó el comienzo de un ciclo de punto de inflexión, tal como los analistas de IDC lo percibieron, algo que desde ya es positivo pues es una señal de reactivación económica.

OTROS TEMAS

HP informó que está expandiendo sus instalaciones de laboratorios de Singapur como parte de su plan de crecimiento de sus recursos de investigación en un plano mundial. Parte de esta expansión apunta a ayudar a clientes en la definición de proyectos de computación nube (cloud computing). (Comlab Corp tuvo oportunidad de visitar las instalaciones y laboratorios de Hewlett-Packard en Singapur años atrás, una experiencia que resultó más que interesante pues allí trabajan investigadores y técnicos de diferentes partes del mundo: India, China, otros países asiáticos y también europeos y americanos, todos en un ambiente de alto nivel profesional).

TECH WALL STREET

El último día de operaciones bursátiles de febrero cerró en los mercados de Nueva York con un leve crecimiento de los índices más importantes de Wall Street. Las variaciones de los principales índices estuvieron en el rango +0,31 y +0,04%.

Al cierre del viernes 26 de febrero, Dow Jones Industrials Average subió 4,23 puntos, o sea 0,04% para cerrar en 10325,26. Nasdaq Composite ganó 4,04 puntos, o sea 0,18%, cerrando en 2238,26. S&P 500 se movió hacia arriba 0,14%, y NYSE ganó 0,31%.

En el sector de tecnología, Morgan Stanley High Tech subió 0,11%, Philadelphia Semiconductor creció 0,14%.

Las acciones estrellas del 2009 finalizaron el día con los siguientes resultas :
- Google ganó $0,37, o sea 0,07%, para cerrar en $526,80.
- Baidu trepó $9,81, o sea 1,93, cerrando en $518,68. (De nuevo Baidu volvió acortar distancias con Google, ubicándose a menos de $10 de diferencia ).
- priceline.com subió $2,84, o sea 1,27%, para cerrar en $226,71.
- Apple fue hacia arriba en $2,62 o sea 1,30%, cerrando en $204,62.

En el sector de chips y semiconductores, Applied Materials subió. Intel y Qualcomm cerraron en territorio negativo.

En el sector de sistemas, computadores, almacenamiento y redes, HP y Dell declinaron. Cisco cerró sin cambios. El resto, IBM, Apple, y EMC subieron. IBM cerró en $127,16. HP concluyó la sesión en $50,79.

En el sector de software, Oracle bajó. Adobe, Microsoft, y Symantec finalizaron el día en alza.

En el sector de impresión e imagen, Canon bajó. Kodak, Lexmark, y Xerox subieron.

En el sector de servicios de Internet, como se vio más arriba, Google, Baidu, y Yahoo cerraron la sesión en territorio positivo.

En el sector de comercio electrónico, Amazon.com, EBay, y priceline.com cerraron en alza.

En el sector de telecomunicaciones, AT&T, Sprint Nextel, y Verizon Communications finalizaron la jornada en territorio positivo.

.- De 38 empresas representativas de diferentes sectores de la industria de tecnología e Internet, al cierre de los mercados de Nueva York, 26 cerraron en territorio positivo, 1 sin cambios, y 11 en territorio negativo.

2.- El mejor crecimiento del grupo fue el de Kodak (+2,95%), seguido por First Solar (+2,70%).

3.- La peor caída de todo el grupo fue la de Ingram Micro (-2,32%).

4.- Bell Micro que recientemente volvió a cotizar en Wall Street, subió $0,09, o sea 2,02%, para cerrar en $4,54.

En el análisis de TECH WALL STREET de la fecha, como es habitual en cada uno de los BRIEF ANALYSIS, se observó el comportamiento de las acciones de las siguientes compañías americanas e internacionales que cotizan en Wall Street: Adobe, Amazon.com, Apple, Applied Materials, AT&T, Baidu, Best Buy, Canon, Cisco, Dell, eBay, Eastman Kodak, EMC, First Solar, Google, HP, IBM, Ingram Micro, Intel, LDK Solar, Lexmark, Lockheed Martin, Microsoft, Nokia, Oracle, priceline.com, Qualcomm, Radio Shack, RIM, Seagate, Siemens, Sprint Nextel, Symantec, Tech Data, Verizon Communications.

© 2010 Comlab-Corp.com

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